Marketwatch APAC

Daily Insights
May 16, 2024

Market Watch APAC – 17th May 2024

 

The US-dollar reversed higher with Treasury yields overnight, as risk soured a touch and Fed officials added fresh comments that interest rates would remain steady until inflation recedes. US Jobless claims came in near forecast and building permits were down for a second month. In Australia yesterday the Employment data came in mixed with unemployment ticking higher to 4.1%, but with total employment registering 38.5k for April which was higher than expected. After a round of buying earlier in the session that took the AUDUSD through 0.67-cents, it then spent the rest of the day searching for support in the 0.6650’s, which was expected. While divergent central bank policy remains between the RBA and the US Fed, AUD should remain favourable for investors. The AUDUSD opens the Asia session at similar levels in the 0.6680’s, and still leans bullish with the chance to regain 0.67-cents. Support should prevail at 0.6645/55 for the day on any immediate pullback.

Wall Street indices saw the Dow hit an all time high over 40,000 before retreating lower on investors expectations for a Fed rate cut in the midst of an inflation slowdown, plus another round of strong corporate earnings. The DJI ended down -0.1%, the S&P500 fell -0.2%, and the Nasdaq dropped -0.3% for the overall session. Australian shares are expected to slip lower again today after investors continue to digest the latest US inflation print and its implications for Fed rate cuts later this year.

Gold prices retreated for the day as the US-dollar gained as the precious metal markets look to the timing of Fed rate cuts later in the year.

Copper prices rallied higher on the CME as traders weigh up short positions that may be difficult to deliver and require cover to roll forward. Iron Ore prices regained some ground over the day as China authorities consider the latest support measure to purchase unsold dwellings.

Brent Crude prices rose once again as investors look to the possibility of easing interest rates that could bring about renewed demand.

 

AUDUSD

Open today 0.6679

Yesterday’s Range 0.6654 / 0.6714

NZDUSD

Open today  0.6122

Yesterday’s Range 0.6096 / 0.6140

AUDNZD

Yesterday’s Range 1.0907 / 1.0944

AUDEUR

Yesterday’s Range 0.6129 / 0.6164

AUDCNH

Yesterday’s Range 4.8084 / 4.8379

AUDGBP

Yesterday’s Range 0.5262 / 0.5288

 

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Economic Calendar

:
CNY - New Home Prices m/m
:
CNY - Industrial Production y/y
:
CNY - Retail Sales y/y
:
CNY - Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y
:
CNY - NBS Press Conference
:
CNY - Unemployment Rate
:
CNY - Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y
:
GBP - MPC Member Mann Speaks
:
EUR - Final Core CPI y/y
:
EUR - Final CPI y/y
:
CAD - Foreign Securities Purchases
:
USD - CB Leading Index m/m
:
USD - FOMC Member Waller Speaks
:
USD - FOMC Member Daly Speaks

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
aud/usd 0.6714 0.6654
nzd/usd 0.61404 0.60769
aud/nzd 1.09401 1.08669
usd/jpy 155.536 153.598
usd/cad 1.36409 1.35897
eur/usd 1.0895 1.08511
gbp/usd 1.27007 1.26433
aud/eur 1.63152 1.62223
aud/jpy 103.811 102.798
aud/cny
Equities and Commodities
S&P 500
DOW
Nasdaq 100
ASX200
GOLD
WTI

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.