Marketwatch APAC

Daily Insights
February 21, 2024

Market Watch APAC – 22nd February 2024

 

The US-dollar softened after the minutes of the latest Fed meeting came in largely as expected and revealed that most of the board were concerned about cutting rates too soon. Traders have responded, pushing back their expectations for the first Fed cut to June. The AUDUSD has held similar ranges for the day as previous sessions. After the AUDUSD had cleared interest through the 0.6550’s previously it has then stalled at the resistance of 0.6580/95 zone and will be looking to clear there for a chance at further gains. This will rely on the fundamentals of Australian Interest rates remaining higher than the US rates for longer, the prospect of improving global trade and further stimulus to the Chinese economy. On the flip-side, any retreat will look for 0.65-cents and 0.6480 behind, where a failure to hold could allow for a retest of the 0.6435/45 support.

Wall Street and global stocks retreated after the Fed Minutes from the latest policy meeting reaffirmed expectations that the central bank will hold rates higher for longer. The DJI was down -0.3%, S&P500 down -0.3% and the Nasdaq fell -0.8%. Australian shares are set to open lower today, as investors follow Wall Street moves and weighed down by the mining sector.

Gold pries scraped higher as the US-dollar eased following the release of the US Fed Minutes and the Middle East conflict continued to attract safe-haven demand.

Copper prices edged up on a retreating US-dollar and a lift in global optimism. Aluminium has been garnishing attention with expectations that US Pres Biden will impose major sanctions on Russia metals, in response to the death of the opposition leader Alexey Navalny. The Dalian Iron ore contract traded further lower as traders remained concerned over demand for steel in the top consumer China and steel mill margins weighing on output.

Brent Crude prices climbed near 1% higher, as concerns about supply tightness due to the Middle East conflicts.

 

AUDUSD

Open today 0.6551

Yesterday’s Range 0.6533 / 0.6573

NZDUSD

Open today  0.6180

Yesterday’s Range 0.6161 / 0.6198

AUDNZD

Yesterday’s Range 1.0595 / 1.0630

AUDEUR

Yesterday’s Range 0.6048 / 0.6077

AUDCNH

Yesterday’s Range 4.7055 / 4.7243

AUDGBP

Yesterday’s Range 0.5181 / 0.5202

 

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Economic Calendar

:
JPY - Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
NZD - Credit Card Spending y/y
:
GBP - MPC Member Greene Speaks
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CNY - Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y
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EUR - French Flash Manufacturing PMI
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EUR - French Flash Services PMI
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EUR - German Flash Manufacturing PMI
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EUR - German Flash Services PMI
:
EUR - Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
EUR - Flash Services PMI
:
GBP - Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
GBP - Flash Services PMI
:
EUR - Final Core CPI y/y
:
EUR - Final CPI y/y
:
EUR - ECOFIN Meetings
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EUR - ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
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CAD - Core Retail Sales m/m
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CAD - Retail Sales m/m
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USD - Unemployment Claims
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CNY - CB Leading Index m/m
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EUR - Belgian NBB Business Climate
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USD - Flash Manufacturing PMI
:
USD - Flash Services PMI
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USD - Existing Home Sales
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USD - FOMC Member Jefferson Speaks
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USD - Natural Gas Storage
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USD - Crude Oil Inventories
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NZD - Retail Sales q/q
:
NZD - Core Retail Sales q/q
:
USD - FOMC Member Cook Speaks

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
aud/usd 0.65732 0.65331
nzd/usd 0.61978 0.61619
aud/nzd 1.06273 1.05948
usd/jpy 150.391 149.849
usd/cad 1.3536 1.34938
eur/usd 1.08244 1.07898
gbp/usd 1.26417 1.26025
aud/eur 1.6532 1.64543
aud/jpy 98.591 98.249
aud/cny
Equities and Commodities
S&P 500 4981.66
DOW 38579.5
Nasdaq 100 17478
ASX200 7588.24
GOLD 2024.25
WTI 78.05

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.