- It’s BOE day and Andrew Bailey and his colleagues are expected to keep rates unchanged at a 16-year high of 5.25%. Wednesday’s services inflation data came in higher than expected, only suggesting that it is wise to wait a few more weeks and evaluate further inflation prints before cutting interest rates.
- Officials have remained silent regarding the 4th of July general election, giving little insight to investors on how to read the latest polls and data but this meeting should be key for any signs of when officials may act and the BOE forecast due in August.
- The sterling continues to trade close to the 1.27 handle against the greenback ahead of today’s meeting and it is well under pressure to trade lower if the BoE turns out to be more than dovish than expected.
- The US Dollar is steady as traders continue to wait for fresh clues on the Fed’s monetary policy outlook. There’s little in the spectrum of data today from the US as most of the attention will be on the Bank of England but, US housing starts, and initial jobless claims are due this afternoon.
- The US economy is starting to lose steam and if European political risks don’t spike further fear across investors, we could see the greenback remain on the back foot.