Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
May 30, 2024

  • US Treasury yields moved higher again yesterday, with the 10-year gaining six basis points to trade through 4.6%. The move was prompted by global debt supply and ongoing concerns over inflation and interest rates in the US. This triggered a rally in the greenback, with the dollar index rising by 0.5% to trade at its highest level in around two weeks. The Japanese yen lost ground against the dollar rising through the level that triggered the latest round of intervention.
  • The Federal Reserved released its Beige Book overnight which showed that the US economy expanded at a “slight or modest” pace across most regions since early April. It also showed that consumers remain resilient to both higher interest rates and elevated inflation with spending flat to up slightly. Inflation remains a thorn in the Fed’s side, and this was backed up by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic who yesterday said “we still have a ways to go” to curb the price pressures witnessed in recent months.
  • The single currency has broken support against the US dollar falling below 1.08 which now acts as resistance. After peaking just below 1.09 at the start of the week, EURUSD broke support at 1.0850 to trade in the high 1.07’s where it is currently consolidating. Month end rebalancing has had an impact on the greenback, and this can also be witnessed in a fall in GBPUSD. Cable has performed well this month, trading at the top of its recent range however the pair fell yesterday to trade as low as 1.2680 this morning.

Economic Calendar

:
CHF - SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks
:
AUD - Building Approvals m/m
:
AUD - Private Capital Expenditure q/q
:
NZD - Annual Budget Release
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CHF - Trade Balance
:
CHF - GDP q/q
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CHF - KOF Economic Barometer
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EUR - Spanish Flash CPI y/y
:
EUR - Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate
:
EUR - Unemployment Rate
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EUR - Italian 10-y Bond Auction
:
CAD - Current Account
:
USD - Prelim GDP q/q
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USD - Unemployment Claims
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USD - Prelim GDP Price Index q/q
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USD - Goods Trade Balance
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USD - Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m
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USD - Pending Home Sales m/m
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USD - Natural Gas Storage
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USD - Crude Oil Inventories
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USD - FOMC Member Williams Speaks
:
JPY - Tokyo Core CPI y/y
:
JPY - Unemployment Rate
:
JPY - Prelim Industrial Production m/m
:
JPY - Retail Sales y/y

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.85075 0.85024
gbp/usd 1.27028 1.26899
gbp/aud 1.92268 1.91861
gbp/nzd 2.08106 2.07696
usd/jpy 157.624 157.123
eur/usd 1.08044 1.07919
gbp/jpy 200.149 199.461
eur/cnh 7.85471 7.8414
usd/cnh 7.27355 7.26564
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 18620.4
DOW 38085.8
S&P 500 5240.89
BRENT CRUDE 83.42
WTI 79.11
GOLD 2333.83

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Simon Walker

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Simon Walker is head of the GPS Capital Markets trade desk in our London office where he is responsible for covering market risk in European hours. He has over 25 years’ experience in foreign exchange, working in both sales and trading.