Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
June 25, 2024

  • It has been a quiet start to the week with the US dollar slipping a touch against its G10 peers as markets consolidate ahead of month end related flows. The dollar index is a little lower with most currency pairs continuing to trade within recent ranges. The Japanese yen posted gains against both the greenback and the euro as the currency approached the area where the government intervened to support the currency earlier this year.
  • EURUSD is consolidating around 1.0735 this morning as politics continue to influence the single currency ahead of the first round of French elections this weekend. Investors sold French assets as soon as the election was called fearing that a new administration would further stretch the country’s budget deficit. Things have calmed down a tad in recent days however French President Emmanuel Macron said that the agendas of the far right and far left pit people against each other, going as far as saying that “extreme” parties could spark a “civil war.” The Ifo survey, released yesterday showed that Germany’s business outlook worsened for the first time in five months, with the expectations gauge falling to 89 in June from 90.3 in the previous month. Officials at the ECB would have taken note, with the data suggesting that the fragile recovery in Europe’s largest economy faces ongoing headwinds.
  • A lack of significant UK data has left the pound on the side lines this week, with GBPUSD treading water in the middle of its recent 1.2650 to 1.2850 range. Final GDP data for the first quarter is due out later in the week, but until then month end flows and the greenback are likely to be the biggest influences on the pound.

Economic Calendar

AUD - Westpac Consumer Sentiment
JPY - BOJ Core CPI y/y
USD - FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
CAD - CPI m/m
CAD - Median CPI y/y
CAD - Trimmed CPI y/y
CAD - Common CPI y/y
CAD - Core CPI m/m
USD - S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y
USD - HPI m/m
USD - CB Consumer Confidence
USD - Richmond Manufacturing Index
EUR - German Buba President Nagel Speaks
USD - FOMC Member Cook Speaks
AUD - RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.84624 0.84575
gbp/usd 1.26966 1.26817
gbp/aud 1.90726 1.90457
gbp/nzd 2.07413 2.07135
usd/jpy 159.703 159.181
eur/usd 1.07407 1.07318
gbp/jpy 202.561 201.95
eur/cnh 7.8211 7.8093
usd/cnh 7.28535 7.2753
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 19584.7
DOW 39573.2
S&P 500 5470.99
WTI 81.68
GOLD 2328.03

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Simon Walker


Simon Walker is head of the GPS Capital Markets trade desk in our London office where he is responsible for covering market risk in European hours. He has over 25 years’ experience in foreign exchange, working in both sales and trading.