Marketwatch EU & UK

Daily Insights
March 27, 2024

  • Month end related flows have helped boost the US dollar in an otherwise quiet week as investors seek inspiration. Slightly higher treasury yields helped to boost the greenback despite mixed US data. Preliminary Durable Goods orders rose 1.4% in February, beating forecasts, however the previous month was revised lower. Headline Consumer Confidence was broadly unchanged this month after deteriorating in February, with consumers pessimistic about future prospects with the expectations element dropping to 73.8 against the previous reading of 76.3. Labor market expectations were also pessimistic with consumers less worried about recession risks but increasingly worried about the jobs market. The FOMC will be noting their concerns as official continue to ponder the first rate cut of the cycle.
  • The Japanese yen lost further ground against the US dollar, trading to its lowest level in 34 years to within a whisker of 152. The lack of support for the yen after the first rate hike since 2007 has prompted many investors to believe that the BoJ needs to step in to support the currency. Last nights move pushed USDJPY beyond the level where the central bank stepped in to markets in October 2022, however some feel that the BoJ will not enter the market until we trade at 155.
  • The BoE’s Catherine Mann was on the wires yesterday, explaining her decision to vote to hold interest rates at the last MPC meeting. Considered a hawk, Mann shifted from a hike at the previous meeting, citing a softer labour market and softer consumer spending as reasons for her shift. She also stated that currently the market is pricing in too many rate cuts from the BoE and that they are unlikely to move before the FOMC.

Economic Calendar

AUD - CPI y/y
EUR - Spanish Flash CPI y/y
CHF - Credit Suisse Economic Expectations
EUR - Italian 10-y Bond Auction
GBP - FPC Meeting Minutes
GBP - FPC Statement
CNY - CB Leading Index m/m
CHF - SNB Quarterly Bulletin
USD - Crude Oil Inventories
CHF - Gov Board Member Schlegel Speaks
USD - FOMC Member Waller Speaks
JPY - BOJ Summary of Opinions

Market Indicators

Currency Pairs
Pair High Low
eur/gbp 0.85852 0.85781
gbp/usd 1.26276 1.26086
gbp/aud 1.93682 1.93119
gbp/nzd 2.10635 2.10162
usd/jpy 151.968 151.447
eur/usd 1.08326 1.08204
gbp/jpy 191.529 191.05
eur/cnh 7.85863 7.8449
usd/cnh 7.25836 7.24286
Equities and Commodities
Nasdaq 100 18306.2
DOW 39484.2
S&P 500 5231.71
WTI 80.93
GOLD 2177.95

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute any recommendation or solicitation to any person to enter into any transaction or adopt any trading strategy, nor does it constitute any prediction of likely future movements in exchange rates or prices or any representation that any such future movements will not exceed those shown on any illustration. All exchange rates and figures appearing are for illustrative purposes only. You are advised to make your own independent judgment with respect to any matter contained herein.

About Simon Walker


Simon Walker is head of the GPS Capital Markets trade desk in our London office where he is responsible for covering market risk in European hours. He has over 25 years’ experience in foreign exchange, working in both sales and trading.